Wednesday, January 09, 2008

Hillary wins NH

Apparently, a few tears helped put Hillary over the top with the older
women in NH. Obama got the independents to break his way, but Hillary
won with registered Democrats. On Bill Bennett's radio show this
morning, Karl Rove mentioned that Obama leads with the young voters
and wine drinkers, while Hillary gets the older voters and beer
drinkers. That gives Hillary a significant edge in the long run. If
she can hold on to the union endorsements, she's still in good shape.

There's also a theory that independents may have chosen to vote for
McCain on the Republican side, which effectively took votes away from
Obama. I haven't seen the numbers to confirm that, but it sounds
plausible.

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